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Monday 27 January 2020

Behold Britain’s last week in the European Union. EU withdrawal received Royal Assent last week, which means there’s nothing to do but wait. The rise of certainty has come at the expense of the Remainer drama that has plagued our front pages for so long. Brexit doesn’t feature on today’s front pages.

That’s not to say however that there isn’t movement as both sides gear up for trade talks. Further to an edition of Brexit Brunch last week which painted an awkward picture for Brussels, the EU capital is struggling to land threats with any conviction now that it is up against a strong government, the EU appears to have gone from the threat of a smallscale deal to no deal at all. If there is to be a deal, it has to be a big one, provided Britain maintains a level regulatory playing field.

Leo Varadkar was dispatched by the Eurocracy over the weekend to turn British blood cold. Varadkar assured the Sunday Times the EU would not sign up to a trade deal unless Britain consigned itself to regulatory equivalence across the board. Even more worryingly, Varadkar claims Boris has no qualms staying close to the EU’s heavy, job destroying economic norms.

Worrying, but we shouldn’t be too surprised. Last week, the chancellor told the globalist elite at Davos Britain would continue to retain “high standards”, in and of itself not necessarily a worrying pledge, but in the context of Britain’s future as an independent trading nation, very worrying indeed.

Speaking to the Times, Varadkar gave yet more worrying insight: “Boris says to me, ‘There’s absolutely no way I’d get chlorinated chicken through the House of Commons. Even if I wanted to, I wouldn’t get it through my own public.’ So they’re a little bit offended by this idea that the UK is going to go down this deregulated lower-standards path.”

Ireland’s Taoiseach has an agenda of course, like the other EU27 leaders he is petrified of dealing with a united British government, led by a Brexiteer who sits on a thumping majority so we shouldn’t take Varadkar for his word.

Speaking to the BBC’s Laura Kuennsberg he made a nonsensical analogy of these trade talks being like a football match with Britain fielding far fewer players on account of our population numbering a measly 65 millions people compared to the EU’s 450. “So long as the EU remains united”, Britain will be in a weaker negotiating position. That’s a mighty big if, and the numbers don’t add up that way Leo. Britain’s priority is for access to services and that’s not on the table, in goods, the Continent plus Ireland, has a 100bn (see tweet above) surplus selling into the UK market to protect, that’s where the football team analogy applies and it doesn’t favour Europe.

Furthermore, how is the EU to stay united? Before it was easy for the 27 remaining member states to stick to the script, they all wanted Britain to cough up outrageous sums of money and faced with an outwardly weak and fragmented opponent on the other side of the Channel, they new they could get it. They fell into the trap of thinking they could reverse Brexit altogether, which helped bring about Boris’s rise to Number 10 so even with the cards in their favour, they still managed to bungle it.

In round two, it’s not just a case of the UK getting its act together, Europe is dividing, the East, particularly Poland is about to escalate its domestic constitutional battle which Brussels is determined to block. Polish voters are infuriated. Meanwhile, Germany is battling to hold onto its export markets in China and the US as a result of President Trump’s praiseworthy crusade against trade imbalances. The Germans are not going to permit EU ideology from spoiling a trade deal that everyone wants.

And it’s not as if Varadkar has much to smile about. Elections in the Republic are less than two weeks away and his party Fine Gael are floundering on 22%.

Globalist Politicians in smaller EU countries don’t view their own nation’s highest office as the higher office. If Varadkar is to one day bag the plum job in Brussels he so obviously craves he should stop reading from Michel Barnier’s doomsday script.

Some free advice, it’s time to stop drinking the kool aid.